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DJIA CASH: Thursday's high was above daily resistance and the close was back below, which is a bearish. And the close was above the daily trend indicator point for the 11th time in 12 days, which means it remains in a trend run up.

Today's trend indicator point is 11,113. A close below would downgrade it back into neutral.

Daily support is 11,070-11,073. A close below 11,070 is bearish, whereas a trade below and a close back above is a bullish trigger.

Daily resistance is 11,218-11,220. A close above 11,220 is bullish, whereas a trade above followed by a close back below resistance is a bearish trigger.

Bullish crossover zones remain in effect at 10,822-10,838, 10,723-10,760, 10,649-10,671, 10,489-10,491, 10,078-10,138, 9839-9873, 9376-9380, 8926-8954, 8774-8794, 8385-8484, 8189-8231, 7380-7525, 7004-7014 and 6643-6736.

Prices closed into a bearish crossover zone at 11,114-11,176. Others remain in effect at 11,964-11,995, 12,415-12,494, 12,949-12,951, 13,188-13,219, 13,460-13,517, 13,616-13,662 and 13,755-13,833.

This is a full moon and midpoint of the critical reversal date, so with prices rising, it could be a major or primary cycle crest still. However, I am more of the opinion the low was Tuesday at 10,917.

Position traders may still be short with a stop-loss with a stop-loss above 11,159 if you didn't exit two days ago on the close above daily resistance. We are still looking for a primary top to be followed by a drop of 2-5 weeks to a primary bottom sometime by the end of November. But right now it is bullish unless we close under the daily indicator point today. You can move your stop-loss up to a close above weekly resistance now at 11,187.

Aggressive traders covered shorts and reverse to the long side as prices dropped to 11,060-11,080 and found support. You may place your stop-loss on a close below Tuesday's low of 10,917.

Solar-lunar periods coming up (the more *, the more likely a reversal. The more #, the less likely a reversal):

Oct 20-22

114.6*

Oct 25-27

70.7#

Oct 28-29

74.3#

Nov 1-2

93.7

Nov 3-4

113.4

Nov 5

83.3#

SPZ (Dec S&P): Thursday's high was above daily resistance and the close was back below, which is a bearish trigger. And the close was above the daily trend indicator point for the 12th time in 13 days, which means it remains in a trend run up.

The daily trend indicator point is now at 1171.40. A close below here will downgrade it back to neutral.

Daily support is 1166.40-1166.75.

Daily resistance is 1185-1185.30.

Bullish crossover zones remain in effect at 1129-1130.20, 1108.50-1111.25, 1055.85-1066, 1013.00-1017.85, 982.90-984.20, 955.40-956.05, 939.95-943.00, 905.55-917.95, 879.80-882.60, 828.05-845.10, 775.75-797.05, 726.70-728.80 and 684.15-697.10.

Bearish crossover zones remain in effect at 1384.80-1388.55, 1456.15-1473.80, and 1540.35-1559.60.

Position traders may still buy on a move down to the nearest bullish crossover zone, with a stop-close under 1129. But the low may have been Tuesday, especially if today's close is not under daily trend indicator point.

Aggressive traders covered shorts and reversed to the long side. Move your stop-loss to a close below 1155.70 (Tuesday's low) or a close under daily support, depending on your risk allowance.

NDZ (Dec NASDAQ): Thursday's high was above daily resistance and the close was back below, which is a bearish trigger. And the close was below the daily trend indicator point after being on it yesterday, which means it is downgraded to trend run down.

The daily trend indicator point is 2079.50. A close above today will upgrade it to neutral.

Daily support is 2061-2064.

Daily resistance is 2098-2101.

Bullish crossover zones remain in effect at 1895-1903, 1848-1849, 1780-1793, 1698-1706, 1643-1649, 1613-1618, 1576-1578, 1454-1481, 1374-1377, 1310-1324, 1267-1280, 1213-1224, 1136-1137 and 1068-1082.

A bearish crossover zones remains in effect at 2209-2215.

Position traders may look to go long if prices drop to 2000 area today, with a stop-loss on a close under 1950. We need to see a 2-5 week decline before establishing new long positions. We may look to go short soon as a primary cycle crest is soon due, to be followed by a 2-5 week decline.

Aggressive traders covered shorts and went long Thursday, with a stop-loss on a close below weekly support at 2034, or even daily support, depending on your risk allowance.

EUZ (Dec Euro): Thursday's high was into daily resistance, which held, and the close was back between support and resistance, which is neutral but with a bearish bias. And the close was above the daily trend indicator point for the 2nd consecutive day, which means it remains neutral.

The daily trend indicator point is at 1.3868. A close up today will upgrade it to trend run up.

Daily support is 1.3832-1.3842

Daily resistance is 1.4012-1.4022.

Bullish crossover zones remain in effect at 1.3103-1.3126, 1.2758-1.2765, 1.2316-1.2328 and 1.2139-1.2158.

Bearish crossover zones remain in effect at 1.4210-1.4221, 1.4443-1.4445, 1.4602-1.4652, 1.4956-1.5036, 1.4955-1.5199, 1.5455-1.5518, 1.5625-1.5689 and 1.5903-1.5904.

Position traders will be waiting for a decline to the 7-11 week major cycle to buy, somewhere back down below 1.3650.

Aggressive traders may remain short with a stop-loss on a close above 1.4156. Look to cover if prices drop below daily support and then close back above it.

TYZ (Dec T-Notes): Thursday's close was below daily support, which is bearish. And the close was below the daily trend indicator point for the 1st time in 4 days, which means it is downgraded from trend run up to neutral.

The daily trend indicator point is 126/27 again. A close above here today upgrades it back to a trend run up.

Daily support is 126/11-126/13.

Daily resistance is 126/30-126/31.

Bullish crossover zones remain in effect at 125/17-125/18, 124/18-124/19, 119/22-119/31, 118/17-119/08, 117/21-117/24, and 116/26-117/02.

A bearish crossover zone remains in effect at 127/12-127/13.

As stated before, and still applicable, "Position traders are looking for a sign that the 4-6 week major cycle low is forming, ideally down to 125/16-125/27. This is the 5th week. Positions traders may buy there with a stop-loss below 123 for a rally to the next major cycle crest, due 1-4 weeks after the low."

Aggressive traders are still short, with a stop-loss on a close above 127/08 (weekly resistance). However, a 4-6 week major cycle low is due now, so look to cover shorts today or Monday if prices drop below 126/06.

SH (Mar Soybeans): Thursday's range was between daily support and resistance, which is neutral. But the close was above the daily trend indicator point for the 2nd consecutive day, which means it remains neutral.

Daily trend indicator point is at 1216. A close up today will upgrade it trend run up.

Daily support is 1210-1214.

Daily resistance is 1232-1236.

Bullish crossover zones remain in effect in November at 1071-1099, 1043-1051, 1012-1019, 1005-1007, 992-995, and 910-915. March is 20 cents higher.

Position traders and aggressive traders may look for a sharp drop by this Monday. It may have stated from Thursday's high at 1243. If so, we could drop to 1170-1190 area by Monday and we may look to buy then.

GCZ (Dec Gold): Thursday's close was below daily support, which is bearish. And the close was below the daily trend indicator point for the 3rd consecutive day, which means it is downgraded to trend run down.

Daily trend indicator point is 1339.70. A close above here today will upgrade it to neutral.

Daily support is 1309.90-1312.70.

Resistance is 1341.30-1344.10.

Bullish crossover zones remains in effect at 1320.70-1325.60 (it closed right at the top at 1325.60), 1251.30-1256.50, 1207-1207.50, 1174.90-1175, 1060-1060.60, 1023.90-1025.50, 999-1000.30, 960.90-963.60, 874-875.50, 866.40-870, 817.60-826, 782.40-799 and 722.80-727.80.

A bearish crossover zone remains in effect at 1355.60-1361.60.

Position traders may remain long with a stop-loss on a close now below 1290 if you didn't exit on the close below 1354.20 Tuesday. Yesterday's report stated, "Look to buy positions back on a drop to the bullish crossover zone at 1320.70-1325.60, unless prices close below there." So we bought back those positions sold last week around 1370, with stop-loss on a close under 1290.

Aggressive traders also went long as prices dropped to 1320.70-1325.60, with a stop-loss on a close below 1290.

As stated before, "My bias is that a major cycle trough is forming this week, ideally at 1310-1326, to be followed by another rise into the first week of November. However, it is possible we have seen the primary cycle crest, and maybe even longer-term, since the highs of last week were under Mars-in-Scorpio ideal sector for a crest." Well, here we are. Let's see if this is the major cycle trough, and if it will hold the normal price correction objective, which would be 1313 +/- 17.70, which was attained Thursday, right in the Oct 21-22 critical reversal zone.

Dec Silver (SIZ): Thursday's close was below daily support, which is bearish. And the close was below the daily trend indicator point for the 3rd consecutive day, which means it is downgraded to trend run down.

Daily trend indicator point is now at 2368. A close above here today would upgrade back to neutral.

Daily support is 2262-2277.

Daily resistance is 2365-2379.

Prices closed below a bullish crossover zone at 2342-2356. Others remain in effect at 2220-2225, 2083-2094, 1870-1872, 1770-1772, 1711-1718, 1665-1672, 1571-1579, 1439-1448, 1362-1364, 1295-1296, 1121-1154, 1061-1085 and 961-980.

Position traders are on the sidelines, waiting for a move below the 22-day moving average before buying. That average is now at 2275 and rising about 12 points/day. We want to buy today if it gets there, as long as we don't close below daily support.

Aggressive traders covered shorts the prior day and are now long with a stop-loss on a close under daily support. A close above 2328 today will be a bullish trigger for the weekly.

The solar-lunar cycles for the next few days are as follows (first column is reversal probability and second column is probability of a 3% or greater trading range for the day). The more *, the more likely a reversal or big range. The more #, the less likely a reversal or big range day.

 

Reversal

Big Range

Oct 20-22

132.7*

62.0##

Oct 25-27

121.3*

179.0**

Oct 28-29

158.2**

145.8**

Nov 1-2

113.6

55.8##

Nov 3-4

108.5

96.0

Nov 5

113.6

139.6*


Using this information properly: Support may represent favorable risk/reward places to buy if the trend is up. If prices trade below support, then have a close back above it, it is considered a bullish "trigger", and oftentimes represents a good buy signal. Resistance may represent favorable risk/reward places to go short if the trend is down. If prices trade above it, then have a weekly close back below, it is considered a bearish "trigger, and oftentimes a good sell signal.

MMA comments and trade recommendations are primarily for traders of commodity and futures contracts. They are provided mainly with "speculators" in mind. By its very nature, "speculation" means "willing to take risk of loss." Speculators" must be willing to accept the fact that they are going to have several losses, many more than say "investors". That is why they are "speculators." Speculators are typically right about 50 ± 10% of the time. The way "speculators" become profitable is not so much by high percentage of winning trades, but by controlling amount of loss on any given trade, so the average trade on winners is considerably more than the average trade on losing trades. MMA's comments can be of value to both speculators and investors. MMA's trade recommendations will be of potential value only to speculators. Those who take these trades need to be willing to adjust stop-losses, and even the trade itself, as the week unfolds, and dependent upon technical factors that will arise with each day's trading. There is no guarantee as to future accuracy or profitability. Each trader and reader trades at his or her own risk, and neither the author nor publisher assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone's financial or commodity markets decisions. Futures or options trading are considered high risk.



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